WaveNovember 2004 – present (public from December 2017)

The Navy Encounters & the UAP Era

The wave that renamed the subject. The USS Nimitz 'Tic Tac' encounter (November 2004: radar drops from 80,000 ft to sea level in seconds, pilot visual by Cmdr. David Fravor, FLIR video) stayed classified-adjacent until…

Region
U.S. training ranges (Pacific off San Diego; Atlantic off Virginia), then worldwide reporting
Approx. reports
AARO holds 1,800+ official military UAP reports (2024 figure); civilian reporting to NUFORC continues at 3,000-7,000/year

Historical context

The wave that renamed the subject. The USS Nimitz 'Tic Tac' encounter (November 2004: radar drops from 80,000 ft to sea level in seconds, pilot visual by Cmdr. David Fravor, FLIR video) stayed classified-adjacent until the New York Times' December 2017 AATIP exposé. Since then: Navy pilots on record (Ryan Graves, 'every day for years'), official video releases (2020), the ODNI preliminary assessment (2021: 144 cases, 143 unexplained), AARO's creation (2022), David Grusch's crash-retrieval testimony under oath (July 2023), NASA's independent study, and annual congressional hearings (2023, 2024, 2025). The phenomenon's center of gravity moved from believers to Senate hearing rooms — with AARO simultaneously resolving most cases as balloons, drones, and sensor artifacts.

Skeptical note

Mick West's parallax/glare analyses of the Navy videos, the balloon/drone explosion in a sensor-saturated sky, and AARO's mundane resolution rate anchor the skeptical case; the eyewitness-plus-multi-sensor core cases (Nimitz, Roosevelt) remain formally unexplained.

Anchor cases

  • nimitz-tic-tac-2004
  • gimbal-gofast-2015
  • roosevelt-encounters-2014-15
  • aguadilla-2013
  • mosul-orb-2016
  • yemen-mq9-orb-2024